The world's climate is changing and understanding weather-related risk continues to be fundamentally important to IAG.
Intuitively our stakeholders understand why IAG sees this as such an important issue, and we need only look at the Melbourne and Perth storms in March 2010 to understand the potentially devastating effects that severe weather events can have; each of these storms caused more than $1bn of insured damage.
Insurance is all about managing risk. Weather-related risk forms a significant component of the total risk profile that needs to be quantified and analysed when we underwrite a general insurance policy. To underwrite risk successfully means calculating and pricing the risk across the jurisdictions in which we operate. In the past, historical claims and weather data have been used as a guide to the current and future risk, but with a changing background climate which is likely to affect weather risk, this methodology is less reliable.
It is therefore important that ongoing changes in weather patterns are anticipated. If the climate changes, our historical claims experiences can no longer be directly applied to our current and future weather risk pricing, particularly the risk of weather extremes. Climate modelling has shown that it may only take a small change in the climate to generate a significant change in extreme weather. Our ability to price risk appropriately is therefore critical, and this could affect the long term sustainability of IAG's business and the availability of insurance to the consumer. We cannot afford to take this issue lightly.
In recent times we have seen a debate played out in the news media about the validity of the climate change science. IAG is quite clear that human induced climate change is a reality as we believe the evidence is overwhelming. Consequently, we have advocated, and continue to advocate, that early action is required to address the likely impacts of the changing climate.
At IAG we are fortunate to have experts within our business that understand in detail the science behind climate change. They are clear that the science of climate change, dating back over a century, remains robust and note that it is hard to refute the fact that today’s climate is changing in a manner as predicted by the IPCC in 1990. This is consistent with the observed increases in greenhouse gases, largely attributable to human activities, which produce a warming of the climate. Using long term temperature measurements, the trend in global air temperatures over the past half century is without doubt upwards, albeit with a natural variability element.
So what does it mean for the insurance industry? We are seeing new extremes in events occurring at an ever increasing rate. Of particular concern is the rate at which things are changing. Therefore it is not only vital but extremely prudent for us to understand and take into account these changing risks.
With this in mind, our Natural Perils Research Team endeavours to build on the weather risk research in which they have already participated, and develop techniques to quantify the effects that we are seeing. The magnitude of the potential impacts means that we must try and stay one step ahead in our understanding, so if research is not available on the particular perspective that we require, we look to undertake the research ourselves. An example of this includes teaming up with Curtin University in an Australian Research Council proposal, to scientifically investigate the influences of climate change and natural variability on severe hail storms in Australia, and we continue to work closely with the Cyclone Testing Station at James Cook University, where we are actively involved in the Station's Management Committee. We also interact with other external researchers to keep track of research findings to ensure we adopt a balanced and scientifically credible approach to this very complex issue. Calling on our internal resources, including our claims assessors, to share first hand their experience of what they are seeing, informs our understanding.
Reinsurance plays a crucial role in our management of weather risk. We purchase reinsurance, the ‘insurance for insurers’, to limit our exposure to the claims that our customers make when a specific event occurs. Reinsurance therefore protects us as a company in the event of large disasters such the Perth or Melbourne storms. We purchase reinsurance from an international market and so the price that we purchase reinsurance cover at is likely to be affected by the impact of weather events occurring across the globe, not just in our countries of operation. Significant losses internationally could have impacts on the price of reinsurance or other risk transfer services, which in turn has implications for the price that we can purchase reinsurance at.
The challenge with such a complex issue is how to respond. Together with building our understanding of the risks, we have divided our response into two parts. Firstly are managing our impact on the environment, by reducing the emissions that our organisation emits and encouraging other organisations to do the same – mitigation activities. Secondly, we are focused on reducing and managing the impact that the environment has on us – adaptation activities.
IAG’s mitigation response involves focusing on reducing our own carbon footprint, as well as being an active participant in the policy debate on climate change. This means following through on our commitment to be carbon neutral by 2012 and continuing to advocate strong mitigation action. IAG was one of the first major Australian corporates to become a visible climate change advocate and we continue to support the introduction of a market mechanism to determine an appropriate price of carbon, to drive carbon emissions down.
However, even if we do succeed in reducing carbon emissions through mitigation activities, this is not enough. Given the impact that severe weather is already having on our customers and the communities in which we operate, we must also develop strategies to adapt to this changing climate.
Adaptation to changes in the climate is not a new concept. We have been dealing with this kind of uncertainty for a long time and individuals, businesses, communities and governments have long sought out ways to prepare themselves for the impacts of extreme weather and natural catastrophes such as cyclones, earth quakes and bush fire. Adaptation can and should take many different forms at the individual, business, community and national level.
Our ultimate aim is to prevent a risk from occurring in the first place but when that is not possible or is insufficient, you look to adapt. If change still occurs, you must respond and learn from the event to feed back into your prevention and adaptation strategies.
Everyone has a role to play in adaptation; individuals can make their houses more resilient with regular maintenance and upgrades, business can ensure that their supply chain is geographically diversified to prevent service interruption, communities can ensure risk-appropriate land-use planing and zoning is occurring.
However, insurers play an important role in adapting to weather risk and there are steps that IAG is already taking, both internally and within the broader community to drive adaptive response. These include:
Understanding the risks and opportunities – the work by IAG’s Natural Perils Research Team is crucial to ensuring that we understand the risks involved to help us determine our response to them.
Sharing information – IAG’s key area of expertise is risk assessment and management, and we share this expertise with the community and other stakeholders through different channels. For example, through our operating brands, such as NRMA Insurance, IAG educates customers on how to prepare for natural disasters, and how to ensure the impact is limited as much as possible.
Forming partnerships - to help our customers prepare through education campaigns and community engagement, for example though our partnership with the Queensland SES;
Assisting in emergency readiness and response - helping our customers when they claim by ensuring we can make payments quicker and help people to get back on their feet. For example, our Major Event Rapid Response Vehicles (or MERVS) fleet comprises two Toyota Landcruisers with roof mounted satellite dishes and three purpose built mobile offices with full functionality of a Claims Assistance Centre and Retail Sales Office. This fleet enables us to provide rapid response to critical incidents.
Influencing and advocating - for example through advocating for the removal of barriers to adequate insurance, via a fairer tax system [combating underinsurance case study in community section] which would remove the unfair burden that taxes and levies place on insurance customers, making insurance too expensive for some customers.
Adapting our own internal processes - to be more nimble and responsive during major catastrophes, for example through the use of satellite imaging technology to make preliminary total loss assessments when the damage done might so severe as to prevent our assessors accessing the damage site on foot.
Going forward, we will continue to engage our stakeholders in mitigating and adapting to the risk of extreme weather, and are focussed on increasing our – and the community’s – understanding of the risks posed by climate change, and how together we can respond to them.